Minnesota Timberwolves 2024-25 Over/Under Win Total is Set

Chris Finch, Minnesota Timberwolves
Jesse Johnson-USA TODAY Sports

The Minnesota Timberwolves are coming off of arguably their best season ever. In 2023-24, they won 56 games, the 2nd most in franchise history, and made it to the Western Conference finals, tied for their deepest ever playoff run.

In 2024-25, they return most of that same squad. The only regular rotation piece that moved on this offseason was Kyle Anderson. They replaced the 30-year-old defensive team leader with another wily veteran, 37-year-old Joe Ingles, who won’t provide the same defense, but should bring much better outside shooting to the offensive equation.

They also traded for the No. 8 overall pick in the 2024 NBA Draft, which they used to take 19-year-old Rob Dillingham (Kentucky). With the No. 27 pick, they drafted 24-year-old Terrence Shannon Jr. (Illinois), who has looked really good in Summer League.

Minnesota Timberwolves projected win total set

So, what has this offseason done for the Wolves’ chances at winning regular season basketball games in 2024-25? Well, sportsbooks aren’t necessarily sure that Minnesota is better than they were last year, but saying they are “worse” could be an overstatement.

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DraftKings has the Minnesota Timberwolves over/under win total set at 52.5, tying them for 3rd most in the NBA, but 3.5 less wins than what they reached in 2023-24. FanDuel also has them at 52.5, which puts them in a 3-way tie for 4th most.

RkDraftKingsRkFanDuel
1Celtics 57.51Celtics 58.5
2Thunder 55.52Thunder 55.5
T-3Nuggets 52.53Knicks 53.5
T-3Timberwolves 52.5T-4Nuggets 52.5
T-3Knicks 52.5T-4Timberwolves 52.5
T-676ers 51.5T-476ers 52.5
T-6Bucks 51.57Bucks 50.5

What can we take away from these early regular season win total odds? That Vegas expects a lot of the same from this Minnesota Timberwolves team. It is difficult to reach 56 wins, no matter how good your team is.

Yes, sportsbooks expect Anthony Edwards to take another step in his route to superstardom. No, they do not believe Kyle Anderson is worth 3+ wins. When setting over/under win totals, Vegas must account for possible injuries, along with the many ups and downs of an NBA regular season.

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That randomness makes it more likely that Minnesota’s win total takes a step back, even if the team ends up getting better. Remember, this is just regular season win totals, and has nothing to do with their chances in the postseason.

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