3 Teams Have Better Projected Odds to Land Kirk Cousins Than Vikings

Kirk Cousins Minnesota Vikings
Eric Hartline-USA TODAY Sports

The NFL offseason is nearly in full swing. So much so that it almost feels like it wants to take off without the four teams remaining in the Super Bowl race. But for Minnesota Vikings fans, all attention is currently on Kirk Cousins and his pending date with free agency on March 13.

Related: Vikings Fans Have Been Sold a Bill of Salary Cap Lies

Speculation is everywhere regarding whether or not Kirk, who was having a career season before sustaining a season ending injury vs the Green Bay Packers in week 8. Will another team swoop in front of the Vikings and make him an offer he can’t refuse and Minnesota can’t match?

Adam Thompson, a veteran oddsmaker and NFL analyst at Bookies.com, believes so. Of all the things that has made me think twice about Kirk Cousins’ return, a plugged in oddsmaker placing the Vikings fourth on his simulated odds board, as #8’s next team.

Kirk Cousins Next Team Simulated Odds

TeamOddsImplied Probability
Las Vegas Raiders+40020.0%
Atlanta Falcons+42519.1%
New England Patriots+50016.7%
Minnesota Vikings+60014.3%
Washington Commanders+75011.8%
Pittsburgh Steelers+9509.5%
Denver Broncos+12007.7%
Seattle Seahawks+14006.7%
The Field+65013.3%
**This market is for entertainment purposes only and has been created by the Bookies.com team. It is not currently available on betting apps. Percentages will not add up to 100% most time because these are designed to simulate odds a sportsbook would set.

Why Do 3 Teams Have Better Odds Than Minnesota?

The three teams ahead of the Vikings all have QB vacancies for teams that are believed to want to win ASAP. Both the New England Patriots and Las Vegas Raiders have available cap space and quarterback uncertainties. The Patriots, led by first-year head coach Jerod Mayo, have Mac Jones, while the Raiders, under Antonio Pierce, anticipate the return of Jimmy Garoppolo from injury.

While the Patriots might offer a higher salary, the Raiders could present a more promising chance for success. Given Cousins age and lack of a Super Bowl appearances, Las Vegas might have the upper hand. Cousins has expressed that, at this point in his career, winning comes before all else.

Eventually, we will find out whether or not that is true. Something else that may have pushed these odds up, in the Raiders favor, was Davante Adams publicly stumping for Vegas’ new general manager to go sign Kirk Cousins.

Related: Davante Adams Wants Kirk Cousins to be His Next QB

There are insider predictions that Bill Belichick, one of the favorites to to be hired as Falcons next head coach, might attempt to lure Cousins with him to Atlanta for a shot at a Super Bowl. Thompson clearly likes the odds of that happening too. The Atlanta Falcons seem poised to part ways with Desmond Ridder and currently have the 15th highest cap space.

Vikings Are Still Very Much In The Mix

Thompson’s odds are somewhat reasonable, with no clear favorite emerging to secure Cousins at the moment. As the offseason progresses, we can expect to hear more speculation, but the Vikings are still in the process of sorting things out.

“A reunion with the Minnesota Vikings isn’t out of the question, and both sides have been saying the right things. Paying him what he’s worth will take some financial juggling, but the prospect of going into the season with Nick Mullens may disgruntle Justin Jefferson as he enters a contract year.”

Adam Thompson – Handicapper (Bookies.com)

Things are gonna start heating up very shortly. What will Kwesi Adofo Mensah and the Vikings decide to do? Many want Cousins resigned, will he take a discount? Will another team offer him more guaranteed money? So many unknowns.

Read more Minnesota Vikings articles

Mentioned in this article:

More About: