What Do New PFF Projections Say About the Minnesota Vikings?
Minnesota Vikings general Kwesi Adofo-Mensah has been talking about a competitive rebuild for years. After significant turnover this offseason, how that plays out in 2024 could define the whole process.
They’re coming off of a 7-win season, with plenty of questions surrounding their roster, especially at QB. So it’s no shock to see that they have plenty of doubters. That remains true over at the popular (and somewhat controversial) Pro Football Focus website.
What does PFF say about the Minnesota Vikings’ chances in 2024?
The NFC North could send two teams to the playoffs but PFF does not project the Minnesota Vikings is not to be among them. And as mentioned, PFF isn’t their only doubter. Sportsbooks have their odds to win the division DRASTICALLY worse than all three of the other rivals, even Chicago, who relying on Caleb Williams to make their offense go.
Per @PFF, here's the #Vikings playoff percentages for the 2024 #NFL season:
— The Purple Persuasion (@TPPSkol) July 8, 2024
💥Projected chance to make playoffs: 32.46%
💥Projected chance to win division: 13.74%
💥Projected chance to win conference championship: 3.78%
💥Projected chance to win Win Super Bowl: 1.68% pic.twitter.com/738LVo81Mq
| NFC North | Wins | Playoffs | Win Div | Win SB |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lions | 9.8 | 61.3% | 35.6% | 6.4% |
| Packers | 9.4 | 55.4% | 30.8% | 4.3% |
| Bears | 8.5 | 43.3% | 19.8% | 2.5% |
| Vikings | 7.7 | 32.5% | 13.8% | 1.7% |
The Lions’ numbers make sense, and most would say the Packers’ projections are fine too. But those Bears, man. That’s a lot of belief in a rookie QB leading a roster that wasn’t all that much better than the Vikings’ last season.
Sam Darnold can impact the Minnesota Vikings’ odds
Minnesota’s defense leaves plenty to be desired but Brian Flores has just as much to work with this season, as he did last. And he got to hand-pick more of this year’s group, too.
The quarterback position is an unknown factor for the Vikings, but again, while Sam Darnold and (eventually) J.J. McCarthy are a substantial deviation from Kirk Cousins, both are massive upgrades over Nick Mullens, Jaren Hall and Josh Dobbs. Darnold has not been good in his previous stops, but he’s never had Kevin O’Connell or weapons like what he has here.
Related: Wait… Sam Darnold Threw How Many Interceptions at Vikings Minicamp?!
Darnold possesses talent worthy of a first round selection. His situations haven’t fostered a real level of growth. He has never had better offensive weapons, and O’Connell is arguably the greatest coach Darnold has seen.
If the Vikings see success at the quarterback position, their season changes dramatically. Odds now aren’t going to reflect unknown performance. So if you believe that this is a resurrection season for Sam Darnold, then you may want to head for your nearest border. If you’re right, your optimism could pay dividends in 6 months.
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